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QI OBSERVATORYPUBLIC FORECAST LEDGER

Qi Observatory

Tomorrow's forecast, written ahead and graded in public.

Verification Ledger

How often the observatory was right, and wrong

Grading results by category and country. Below 30 graded statements, counts only.
CategoryCountryTotal HitMissVoid PendingHit rateChance baseline
Reading the ledger...
Notes

How to read this page

  • Day qi for 60 birth yearsThe dial shows the 60 birth years of the Sixty JiaZi Cycle, clockwise from Jia Zi. A bar reaching outward marks a day that flows with that birth year; a bar pressing inward marks a day that runs against it.
  • Markets, weather and newsEvery statement is a yes or no call, with its grading rule fixed at the time of writing. Next to each one is the chance baseline: the hit rate of a random guesser.
  • The sealThe hash is the fingerprint of the whole forecast. Change one character and the hash changes. Each day is chained to the hash of the day before, so no day can be inserted or removed unnoticed.
  • Verification LedgerThe ledger adds up every graded Layer B statement. A forecast only means something when its hit rate beats the chance baseline over a large enough sample. A void statement is one that could not be graded under its stated rule, for example when a market was closed for a holiday. Void statements are left out of the hit rate.

The Qi Observatory is the daily forecast page by Master Ưng Khiêm, publishing one forecast for the following day, every day.

Each forecast is sealed with a SHA-256 hash and locked at 17:00 Vietnam time on the day before the forecast day.

Layer A rates the qi of the day for the 60 birth years of the Sixty JiaZi Cycle on five levels: Highly Auspicious, Auspicious, Neutral, Inauspicious, Highly Inauspicious.

Layer B is a set of yes or no statements about markets, weather and news in Vietnam, the United States, Australia, Canada and Japan, read from a single Qi Men Dun Jia Day Board.

The Verification Ledger records how each statement was graded and always shows the hit rate next to the chance baseline; below 30 graded statements it shows counts only.

A day at the observatory

A forecast passes four stages

  1. 16:00Written

    The rule set runs on the Stem and Branch of tomorrow and produces every statement. This session reads no news.

  2. 17:00Locked

    From 17:00 Vietnam time, the forecast for tomorrow can no longer be changed.

  3. During the dayPlayed out

    The day unfolds. Readers mark Hit or Miss for their own birth year.

  4. The day afterGraded

    Each Layer B statement is checked against public data, with the evidence and the source recorded.

Ledger rules

Eight rules the observatory binds itself to

  1. A hard filing deadlineA forecast must be in the ledger before 17:00 Vietnam time on the day before. Late filings are rejected by the server.
  2. A chained fingerprintEach day has a SHA-256 hash, chained to the hash of the day before.
  3. Misses stay as they areA miss is shown in the same size and the same place as a hit. Nothing is deleted or dimmed.
  4. No news while writingThe writing session runs the rule set only. It reads no news and no data about the forecast day.
  5. Rules carry a version numberChanging a rule starts a new version, and the ledger keeps each version's results apart.
  6. Below 30 samples, counts onlyUntil 30 statements are graded, the ledger shows 7 hits out of 12 and no percentage.
  7. Always next to the chance baselineA hit rate on its own says nothing. The ledger always shows what a random guesser would score.
  8. A missed day stays emptyIf a day is not filed in time, the ledger shows no forecast. Nothing is back-filled.
Limits

What the observatory forecasts, and what it leaves alone

It forecasts

  • Whether the qi of the day flows with or against each birth year.
  • Whether each country's main stock index closes up or down from the previous session.
  • Whether the capital is warmer or cooler than the day before, and whether it rains.
  • Which of the Five Elements the top news story of the day belongs to.

It never forecasts

  • The death, illness or accident of a named person.
  • Specific casualties or disasters.
  • Elections, coups or armed conflict.
  • The price of a single stock or cryptocurrency.
Questions

Frequently asked questions

What is the Qi Observatory?

The Qi Observatory is the daily forecast page by Master Ưng Khiêm. Each day it files a forecast for the following day, seals it with a hash before 17:00 Vietnam time, and later grades every statement as a hit or a miss in the Verification Ledger.

What does tomorrow's forecast contain?

Two layers. Layer A rates the qi of the day for the 60 birth years of the Sixty JiaZi Cycle on five levels, from Highly Auspicious to Highly Inauspicious. Layer B is a set of yes or no statements about markets, weather and news in Vietnam, the United States, Australia, Canada and Japan.

How do I know a forecast was not edited after the outcome?

Each forecast gets a SHA-256 hash that is chained to the hash of the previous day. The ledger locks at 17:00 Vietnam time on the day before the forecast day. Readers can press Verify the hash to have the server recompute it and compare it with the stored value.

Why does the ledger sometimes show counts and no percentage?

Until a category has 30 graded statements, a percentage means little. The ledger then shows counts only, for example 7 hits out of 12, and waits for a full sample before showing a rate next to the chance baseline.

How is Layer A graded?

Layer A is not graded against outside data. Readers mark Hit or Miss for their own birth year. The page shows how many readers voted and states plainly that this is reader feedback, not a measurement.

What does the Qi Observatory never forecast?

It never forecasts the death, illness or accident of a named person, specific casualties or disasters, elections, coups or armed conflict, or the price of a single stock or cryptocurrency.

Should I use these forecasts to invest?

No. The Qi Observatory is for reference and research. It is not investment advice and does not replace an official weather service.

Is tomorrow a good day for my birth year?

Pick your birth year on the 60 year dial in Layer A. The Qi Observatory shows which of five levels the qi of tomorrow holds for that year, from Highly Auspicious to Highly Inauspicious. This is the shared qi of one birth year on one day. It does not replace a personal chart.

Does the Qi Observatory forecast the stock market tomorrow?

Yes, at index level. Layer B files a yes or no statement for the main index of five countries: VN-Index, S&P 500, S&P ASX 200, S&P TSX Composite and Nikkei 225. It never forecasts the price of a single stock, and none of this is investment advice.

Does the Qi Observatory forecast gold, oil or the US dollar?

Yes, starting with the forecast for 13 November 2026, under rule set 1.1. On each weekday the observatory adds four statements: world gold, Brent crude oil, the US dollar index and the US dollar to Vietnamese dong rate, each saying whether the close will be higher or lower than the previous session. When the score sits too close to the threshold, that statement is not issued. Retail fuel prices and domestic gold bar prices in Vietnam are not forecast, because they do not move every day. The observatory never backfills days before 13 November 2026. The price of a single cryptocurrency stays on the list of things it never forecasts.

See also

Related tools

The rule set is written by Master Ưng Khiêm and belongs to the UK MASTER ACADEMY body of work. Page updated: 11 November 2026.

The Qi Observatory is for reference and research. It is not investment advice and does not replace an official weather service.